Sports Betting Tip, The Key to Picking Winners
Sports betting can be hard, but most people make it harder than it has to be. Although not on purpose, well meaning bettors complicate the handicapping process to the point that they are literally better off flipping a coin.
You can spend hours looking at stats and records only to increase your chance of losing. The reason for that is simple. The answer is not in the stats. Stats are what happened yesterday. Your job as a sports bettor is predicting what will happen tomorrow. Your success depends on being right more often than you are not.
The key to picking winners lies in identifying what it is that can motivate a team to win. The most motivated team may not win the game, but they are much more likely to cover the spread. As long as you win, who cares if the team does?
A good handicapping system will always be centered on a teams motivation to win the game. Your bets should depend on it.
You should have a base system that will determine which games have the highest probabilities in your favor, all other things being equal. Once you have settled on a game and situation with your basic handicapping system, it is time to rate the teams motivations to see if they are a good bet.
For my betting business I have developed a chart that list all the motivations I have been able to come with. I will then rate each team and give them a score based on the chart.
If a team selected by the base system has a negative Motivation Factor, I will not bet it. That chart has saved me a lot of money over the years by stopping me from placing bets on teams that may be lacking motivation.
The key to picking winners is to bet on motivated teams that are playing in situations that already increase their probabilities of a win, as identified by a sound base handicapping system.
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